Clinical phenotypes and potential biomarkers

Many therapies investigated for Long COVID have been reported to reduce PGE2 activity, either directly or indirectly see potential PGE2-lowering therapies. The PGE2 hypothesis proposes that persistent PGE2 activity, together with altered expression of its receptors (EP1–EP4), may contribute to the development and maintenance of Long COVID and related fatigue syndromes. However, chronic PGE2 overactivity may not affect all patients in the same way. Differences in EP-receptor expression and cellular adaptation could result in different PGE2 signaling profiles, potentially contributing to the clinical heterogeneity observed in Long COVID.
If biological responses to PGE2 differ between patients because of differences in their EP-receptor expression profiles, a therapy that influences PGE2 signaling may be beneficial for some patients but less effective in others. In this context, partially successful clinical studies may not necessarily indicate that a treatment is ineffective overall, but could point to the need for biological stratification of patients.

Several techniques may potentially be used to assess EP-receptor expression and function, as well as other biological features related to PGE2 signaling. The table below summarizes potential clinical and biochemical biomarkers that could help identify biologically distinct patient subgroups and support the development of future precision-medicine approaches.

For further information and references, see our hypothesis publication DOI:10.1016/j.bbrep.2026.102518 or visit the website: pge2-hypothesis.com

Hypothetical biomarkers for two or four subgroups of LC patients 

Two observed subphenotypesMore male patientsMore female patients

More often hospitalized

More often mild infection

(PGE2 stimulates the sickness syndrome through EP3)

Proposed EP3-receptor-expression

+EP3

-EP3

Four observed subphenotypesCardiovascular, kidney, allergyGastro-intestinal, urinary tract, respiratoryMusculo-skeletal, nervous system, auto-immuneFatigue, Respiratory/asthma, mental and cognitive problems
Proposed full EP-receptor-profile (in view of their functions)

+EP1

-EP2

+EP3

-EP4

-EP1

-EP2

+/-EP3

+EP4

-EP1

+EP2

-EP3

+EP4

+EP1

+EP2 (internalized)

-EP3

+EP4 (internalized)

Matching reported EP-expression in the immune cells listed below⁴

-EP2

-EP4

+EP1

+EP3

-EP2

+EP4

+EP2

+EP4

+EP2

-EP4

Proposed matching predominant immune cell type

and immune response⁷-¹¹

Naïve CD4+ cells

Innate

(mastcells)

Classical Monocytes

Th1

Non classical Monocytes

Th17

Intermediate Monocytes

Th2

Matching clusters of cytokines¹Pro-inflammatory cytokinesIFN-γ/IL-1βIL-17Anti-inflammatory cytokines

Published data on PGE2, immune cells, and cytokines

The following findings from the literature are relevant to the proposed relationship between PGE2 signaling, immune-cell function, cytokine profiles, and fatigue in Long COVID.

Cytokines and clinical subphenotypes
  • Cytokine subphenotypes have been identified in Long COVID and shown to correlate with distinct symptom subphenotypes.¹
  • Research comparing fatigued and non-fatigued Long COVID patients has identified differences in monocyte-related immune profiles.²
  • Immunological profiling has reported overall low-grade inflammation, T-lymphocyte senescence, and increased monocyte activation, with monocyte activation correlating with increasing fatigue severity.²
Mitochondrial dysfunction, fatigue, and EP2 signaling
  • In aged mice, blockade of the PGE2 receptor EP2 improved mitochondrial function in alveolar macrophages.³

Monocytes and PGE2 signaling

  • PGE2 may modulate immune responses by regulating the expression of specific adhesion molecules on monocytes through EP2 and EP4 receptors.⁴
Monocytes as a source of PGE2
  • Monocytes have been identified as an important source of PGE2. In one study, abnormally high PGE2 production by monocytes was associated with reduced NK-cell activity, while removal of monocytes from PBMCs restored NK- and LAK-cell activity to near-normal levels in patients.⁵
  • Cortisol, 6-methylprednisolone, and dexamethasone suppressed LPS-induced PGE2 biosynthesis in both whole blood and isolated monocytes in vitro, at concentrations comparable to those associated with their anti-inflammatory effects in vivo.⁶
Monocyte-derived dendritic cells, T-cell polarization, and PGE2
  • Cooperative stimulation of EP2 and EP4 receptors by PGE2 was reported to promote maturation of monocyte-derived dendritic cells (MoDCs) while inhibiting LPS-induced cytokine production. Under these conditions, the mature MoDCs preferentially induced Th2 polarization, suggesting a role for EP2 and EP4 signaling in determining Th1/Th2 development of naïve T cells.⁷
PGE2 and regulation of immune responses
  • PGE2 can modulate multiple components of the immune response. It has been reported to suppress effector functions of macrophages and neutrophils, as well as Th1-, CTL-, and NK-cell-mediated type 1 immunity, while promoting Th2, Th17, and regulatory T-cell responses.⁸
  • PGE2 has also been reported to stimulate EP4 receptors and promote Th1 differentiation and Th17 expansion.⁹
  • Other findings suggest that PGE2 can suppress both Th1- and Th2-polarized antigen-specific human T-cell responses through a cAMP-dependent EP2/EP4 pathway.¹⁰
  • Elevated PGE2 levels have additionally been associated with promotion of type 2 Th responses.¹¹

References

1             Sidiropoulou, C. et al. Long-term immune and epigenetic dysregulation following COVID-19. Clin Immunol 283, 110656 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clim.2025.110656

2             Berentschot, J. C. et al. Immunological profiling in long COVID: overall low grade inflammation and T-lymphocyte senescence and increased monocyte activation correlating with increasing fatigue severity. Frontiers in Immunology Volume 14 – 2023 (2023). https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2023.1254899

3             Chen, J. et al. Age-induced prostaglandin E2 impairs mitochondrial fitness and increases mortality to influenza infection. Nature Communications 13, 6759 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34593-y

4             Takahashi, H. K. et al. Prostaglandin E(2) inhibits IL-18-induced ICAM-1 and B7.2 expression through EP2/EP4 receptors in human peripheral blood mononuclear cells. J Immunol 168, 4446-4454 (2002). https://doi.org/10.4049/jimmunol.168.9.4446

5             Baxevanis, C. N. et al. Elevated prostaglandin E2 production by monocytes is responsible for the depressed levels of natural killer and lymphokine-activated killer cell function in patients with breast cancer. Cancer 72, 491-501 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0142(19930715)72:2<491::aid-cncr2820720227>3.0.co;2-1

6             Santini, G. et al. The human pharmacology of monocyte cyclooxygenase 2 inhibition by cortisol and synthetic glucocorticoids. Clin Pharmacol Ther 70, 475-483 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1067/mcp.2001.119213

7             Kubo, S. et al. E-prostanoid (EP)2/EP4 receptor-dependent maturation of human monocyte-derived dendritic cells and induction of helper T2 polarization. J Pharmacol Exp Ther 309, 1213-1220 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1124/jpet.103.062646

8             Kalinski, P. Regulation of immune responses by prostaglandin E2. J Immunol 188, 21-28 (2012). https://doi.org/10.4049/jimmunol.1101029

9             Chen, Q. et al. A novel antagonist of the prostaglandin E(2) EP(4) receptor inhibits Th1 differentiation and Th17 expansion and is orally active in arthritis models. Br J Pharmacol 160, 292-310 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1476-5381.2010.00647.x

10           Okano, M. et al. E prostanoid 2 (EP2)/EP4-mediated suppression of antigen-specific human T-cell responses by prostaglandin E2. Immunology 118, 343-352 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2567.2006.02376.x

11           Kaliński, P., Hilkens, C. M., Snijders, A., Snijdewint, F. G. & Kapsenberg, M. L. IL-12-deficient dendritic cells, generated in the presence of prostaglandin E2, promote type 2 cytokine production in maturing human naive T helper cells. J Immunol 159, 28-35 (1997).

12           Kawahara, K., Hohjoh, H., Inazumi, T., Tsuchiya, S. & Sugimoto, Y. Prostaglandin E2-induced inflammation: Relevance of prostaglandin E receptors. Biochimica et Biophysica Acta (BBA) – Molecular and Cell Biology of Lipids 1851, 414-421 (2015). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bbalip.2014.07.008

13           Wang, X.-s., Sze Wing, S., Kwok Ho, Y. & Lau, H. Y. A. Functional characterization of human mast cells cultured from adult peripheral blood. International Immunopharmacology 6, 839-847 (2006). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intimp.2005.12.004

14           Wang, X. S. & Lau, H. Y. Prostaglandin E potentiates the immunologically stimulated histamine release from human peripheral blood-derived mast cells through EP1/EP3 receptors. Allergy 61, 503-506 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1398-9995.2006.01043.x

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